Shifting Opinions in a Social Network Through Leader Selection

We study the French-DeGroot opinion dynamics in a social network with two polarizing parties. We consider a network in which the leaders of one party are given, and we pose the problem of selecting the leader set of the opposing party so as to shift the average opinion to a desired value. When each party has only one leader, we express the average opinion in terms of the transition matrix and the stationary distribution of random walks in the network. The analysis shows the balance of influence between the two leader nodes. We show that the problem of selecting at most k absolute leaders to shift the average opinion is NP-hard. Then, we reduce the problem to a problem of submodular maximization with a submodular knapsack constraint and an additional cardinality constraint, and propose a greedy algorithm with upper bound search to approximate the optimum solution. We also conduct experiments in random networks and real-world networks to show the effectiveness of the algorithm.