Abstract:
With the rapid development and wide application of new media, predicting the popularity of policy information on new media is of great significance for understanding and ...Show MoreMetadata
Abstract:
With the rapid development and wide application of new media, predicting the popularity of policy information on new media is of great significance for understanding and managing public opinion. However, the complexity of the diffusion patterns of policy information has brought great challenges for predicting the popularity of such information. Inspired by the methods of popularity prediction for short text information from social networks, we propose a framework for the popularity prediction of policy information. In our framework, first, the features of policy information are extracted from three dimensions: contextual information, social information and textual information. Then, effective features, such as the topic distribution, popularity competition intensity and hot information relevance, are identified by empirical analysis. Finally, the effective features are input into the prediction model to predict the popularity of policy information. We evaluate the performance of our proposed framework using a real-world dataset and the experimental results show that the framework can efficiently predict the popularity of policy information and that the features that we used are effective in improving the accuracy of policy information popularity prediction. The accurate prediction result could benefit policy makers, allowing them to make better decisions, understand and manage public opinion.
Date of Conference: 01-03 July 2019
Date Added to IEEE Xplore: 05 September 2019
ISBN Information:
Keywords assist with retrieval of results and provide a means to discovering other relevant content. Learn more.
- IEEE Keywords
- Index Terms
- News Media ,
- Inform Policy ,
- Popularity Prediction ,
- Prediction Model ,
- Prediction Accuracy ,
- Empirical Analysis ,
- Contextual Information ,
- Effects Of Characteristics ,
- Feature Information ,
- Social Information ,
- Real-world Datasets ,
- Textual Information ,
- Prediction Framework ,
- Topic Distribution ,
- Root Mean Square Error ,
- Multilayer Perceptron ,
- Predictive Features ,
- Prediction Task ,
- Time Of Publication ,
- Ridge Regression ,
- Support Vector Regression ,
- Historical Values ,
- Gradient Boosting Decision Tree ,
- Historical Mean
- Author Keywords
Keywords assist with retrieval of results and provide a means to discovering other relevant content. Learn more.
- IEEE Keywords
- Index Terms
- News Media ,
- Inform Policy ,
- Popularity Prediction ,
- Prediction Model ,
- Prediction Accuracy ,
- Empirical Analysis ,
- Contextual Information ,
- Effects Of Characteristics ,
- Feature Information ,
- Social Information ,
- Real-world Datasets ,
- Textual Information ,
- Prediction Framework ,
- Topic Distribution ,
- Root Mean Square Error ,
- Multilayer Perceptron ,
- Predictive Features ,
- Prediction Task ,
- Time Of Publication ,
- Ridge Regression ,
- Support Vector Regression ,
- Historical Values ,
- Gradient Boosting Decision Tree ,
- Historical Mean
- Author Keywords