Scheduling Lockdowns Under Conditions of Pandemic Uncertainty | IEEE Journals & Magazine | IEEE Xplore

Scheduling Lockdowns Under Conditions of Pandemic Uncertainty


Empirical distributions of the beginning of Covid-19 pandemics in France, Germany, Italy and Spain fit to the Weibull function for parameters T = 36.496 and b = 1.669. Th...

Abstract:

The objective of our work was to develop a tool to support the process of making strategic decisions about the COVID-19 pandemic by optimizing suppression intervention sc...Show More

Abstract:

The objective of our work was to develop a tool to support the process of making strategic decisions about the COVID-19 pandemic by optimizing suppression intervention schedules. We focus mainly on hard lockdowns that have the effect of containing the spread of the virus and, consequently, minimizing the number of infections and keeping the incidence of COVID-19 at low levels. Properly implemented restrictions can reduce the likelihood of infection and thus push the pandemic back. On the contrary, lifting restrictions results in a sharp increase in likelihood of infection and the development of a pandemic. The model proposed in this paper indicates the optimal moments to implement full lockdown, accounting for both the costs of lockdown and the costs of not applying lockdown.
Empirical distributions of the beginning of Covid-19 pandemics in France, Germany, Italy and Spain fit to the Weibull function for parameters T = 36.496 and b = 1.669. Th...
Published in: IEEE Access ( Volume: 11)
Page(s): 118689 - 118697
Date of Publication: 23 October 2023
Electronic ISSN: 2169-3536

Funding Agency:

Author image of Radosław Kapłan
Faculty of Management, AGH University of Krakow, Kraków, Poland
Radosław Kapłan received the M.S. degree in mechanical engineering and robotics and in management and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Cracow, Poland, in 2008, 2010, and 2015, respectively.
Since 2010, he has been a Research Assistant with the Institute of Management, AGH University of Science and Technology. His research interests include evaluation of multi-cri...Show More
Radosław Kapłan received the M.S. degree in mechanical engineering and robotics and in management and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Cracow, Poland, in 2008, 2010, and 2015, respectively.
Since 2010, he has been a Research Assistant with the Institute of Management, AGH University of Science and Technology. His research interests include evaluation of multi-cri...View more
Author image of Roger Książek
Faculty of Management, AGH University of Krakow, Kraków, Poland
Roger Książek received the M.Sc. degree in management science from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Krakow, Poland, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering. He is currently an expert in the field of operations research and management science. He is also a Researcher and an Assistant Professor with the Faculty of Management, AGH-UST. He specializes in scheduling and planning problems, including project ...Show More
Roger Książek received the M.Sc. degree in management science from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Krakow, Poland, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering. He is currently an expert in the field of operations research and management science. He is also a Researcher and an Assistant Professor with the Faculty of Management, AGH-UST. He specializes in scheduling and planning problems, including project ...View more
Author image of Katarzyna Gdowska
Faculty of Management, AGH University of Krakow, Kraków, Poland
Katarzyna Gdowska received the M.Sc. degree in management science from the AGH University of Science and Technology (AGH-UST), Krakow, Poland, the M.A. degree in philosophy from Jagiellonian University, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering.
She is currently an expert in the field of operations research and management science. She specializes in scheduling and planning problems, including project planning and mana...Show More
Katarzyna Gdowska received the M.Sc. degree in management science from the AGH University of Science and Technology (AGH-UST), Krakow, Poland, the M.A. degree in philosophy from Jagiellonian University, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering.
She is currently an expert in the field of operations research and management science. She specializes in scheduling and planning problems, including project planning and mana...View more
Author image of Piotr Łebkowski
Faculty of Management, AGH University of Krakow, Kraków, Poland
Piotr Łebkowski received the Ph.D. degree in automatic control and robotics from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Cracow, Poland, in 1986, the Postdoctoral degree, in 2001, and the Doctor (Honoris Causa) degree from the Lviv University of Technology, Lviv, Ukraine.
Since 2003, he has been a Professor with the Faculty of Management, AGH University of Science and Technology. From 2005 to 2012, he was the Deputy ...Show More
Piotr Łebkowski received the Ph.D. degree in automatic control and robotics from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Cracow, Poland, in 1986, the Postdoctoral degree, in 2001, and the Doctor (Honoris Causa) degree from the Lviv University of Technology, Lviv, Ukraine.
Since 2003, he has been a Professor with the Faculty of Management, AGH University of Science and Technology. From 2005 to 2012, he was the Deputy ...View more

Author image of Radosław Kapłan
Faculty of Management, AGH University of Krakow, Kraków, Poland
Radosław Kapłan received the M.S. degree in mechanical engineering and robotics and in management and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Cracow, Poland, in 2008, 2010, and 2015, respectively.
Since 2010, he has been a Research Assistant with the Institute of Management, AGH University of Science and Technology. His research interests include evaluation of multi-criteria effectiveness of decision and risk management. He deals also with the broadly understood concept of quality, with a particular emphasis on statistical process control.
Radosław Kapłan received the M.S. degree in mechanical engineering and robotics and in management and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Cracow, Poland, in 2008, 2010, and 2015, respectively.
Since 2010, he has been a Research Assistant with the Institute of Management, AGH University of Science and Technology. His research interests include evaluation of multi-criteria effectiveness of decision and risk management. He deals also with the broadly understood concept of quality, with a particular emphasis on statistical process control.View more
Author image of Roger Książek
Faculty of Management, AGH University of Krakow, Kraków, Poland
Roger Książek received the M.Sc. degree in management science from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Krakow, Poland, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering. He is currently an expert in the field of operations research and management science. He is also a Researcher and an Assistant Professor with the Faculty of Management, AGH-UST. He specializes in scheduling and planning problems, including project planning and managing problems. He develops optimization models for lot sizing and scheduling, delivery synchronization, bus timetabling, and other problems of industrial logistics. He has authored or coauthored two books, 16 chapters, 11 journal articles, and 22 conference papers.
He is a Co-Organizer of conferences: “International Conference on Industrial Logistics ICIL” (2016) and “International Conference on Decision Making in Manufacturing and Services DMMS,” in 2017 and 2019.
Roger Książek received the M.Sc. degree in management science from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Krakow, Poland, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering. He is currently an expert in the field of operations research and management science. He is also a Researcher and an Assistant Professor with the Faculty of Management, AGH-UST. He specializes in scheduling and planning problems, including project planning and managing problems. He develops optimization models for lot sizing and scheduling, delivery synchronization, bus timetabling, and other problems of industrial logistics. He has authored or coauthored two books, 16 chapters, 11 journal articles, and 22 conference papers.
He is a Co-Organizer of conferences: “International Conference on Industrial Logistics ICIL” (2016) and “International Conference on Decision Making in Manufacturing and Services DMMS,” in 2017 and 2019.View more
Author image of Katarzyna Gdowska
Faculty of Management, AGH University of Krakow, Kraków, Poland
Katarzyna Gdowska received the M.Sc. degree in management science from the AGH University of Science and Technology (AGH-UST), Krakow, Poland, the M.A. degree in philosophy from Jagiellonian University, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering.
She is currently an expert in the field of operations research and management science. She specializes in scheduling and planning problems, including project planning and managing problems. She develops optimization models for resource planning, transport, and logistics. She is also a Researcher and an Assistant Professor with the Faculty of Management, AGH-UST. She collaborates with the Industrial Engineering and Management Centre (CEGI), INESC TEC, Porto, Portugal. She is also a certified academic tutor; teaches classes on operations research, computer-aided tools for project planning, and project management. She was a principal investigator in small grants aimed at innovations for SMEs. She was the Team Leader of Erasmus+ CBHE projects: “GameHub University-Enterprises Cooperation in Game Industry in Ukraine” and “MoPED—Modernization of Pedagogical Higher Education by Innovative Teaching Instruments.” She is also a Managing Editor of Decision Making in Manufacturing and Services.
Katarzyna Gdowska received the M.Sc. degree in management science from the AGH University of Science and Technology (AGH-UST), Krakow, Poland, the M.A. degree in philosophy from Jagiellonian University, and the Ph.D. degree in industrial engineering.
She is currently an expert in the field of operations research and management science. She specializes in scheduling and planning problems, including project planning and managing problems. She develops optimization models for resource planning, transport, and logistics. She is also a Researcher and an Assistant Professor with the Faculty of Management, AGH-UST. She collaborates with the Industrial Engineering and Management Centre (CEGI), INESC TEC, Porto, Portugal. She is also a certified academic tutor; teaches classes on operations research, computer-aided tools for project planning, and project management. She was a principal investigator in small grants aimed at innovations for SMEs. She was the Team Leader of Erasmus+ CBHE projects: “GameHub University-Enterprises Cooperation in Game Industry in Ukraine” and “MoPED—Modernization of Pedagogical Higher Education by Innovative Teaching Instruments.” She is also a Managing Editor of Decision Making in Manufacturing and Services.View more
Author image of Piotr Łebkowski
Faculty of Management, AGH University of Krakow, Kraków, Poland
Piotr Łebkowski received the Ph.D. degree in automatic control and robotics from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Cracow, Poland, in 1986, the Postdoctoral degree, in 2001, and the Doctor (Honoris Causa) degree from the Lviv University of Technology, Lviv, Ukraine.
Since 2003, he has been a Professor with the Faculty of Management, AGH University of Science and Technology. From 2005 to 2012, he was the Deputy Dean of Science and from 2012 to 2020, he was the Dean of the Faculty of Management, AGH-UST. From 2010 to 2016, he was the Secretary of the Production Engineering Committee of the Polish Academy of Sciences and from 2016 to 2017, he was the Vice-President of the Committee. Since 2020, he has been the Head of the Department of Strategic Management, Faculty of Management, AGH. He is the author of 15 books, the scientific editor of 12 books, and more than 230 articles. His research interests include flexible production systems, control of production processes, control in integrated production systems, and operational research.
Piotr Łebkowski received the Ph.D. degree in automatic control and robotics from the AGH University of Science and Technology, Cracow, Poland, in 1986, the Postdoctoral degree, in 2001, and the Doctor (Honoris Causa) degree from the Lviv University of Technology, Lviv, Ukraine.
Since 2003, he has been a Professor with the Faculty of Management, AGH University of Science and Technology. From 2005 to 2012, he was the Deputy Dean of Science and from 2012 to 2020, he was the Dean of the Faculty of Management, AGH-UST. From 2010 to 2016, he was the Secretary of the Production Engineering Committee of the Polish Academy of Sciences and from 2016 to 2017, he was the Vice-President of the Committee. Since 2020, he has been the Head of the Department of Strategic Management, Faculty of Management, AGH. He is the author of 15 books, the scientific editor of 12 books, and more than 230 articles. His research interests include flexible production systems, control of production processes, control in integrated production systems, and operational research.View more

References

References is not available for this document.