Monitoring of Critical Undersea Infrastructures: The Nord Stream and Other Recent Case Studies

The explosions on 26 September 2022, which damaged the Nord Stream gas pipelines, have highlighted the need and urgency of improving the resilience of critical undersea infrastructures (CUIs). Comprising gas pipelines and power and communication cables, these connect countries worldwide and are critical for the global economy and stability. An attack targeting multiple of such infrastructures could potentially cause significant damage and greatly affect various aspects of daily life. Due to the increasing number of CUIs, existing underwater surveillance solutions, such as autonomous underwater vehicles or remotely operated vehicles, are not adequate enough to ensure thorough monitoring. We show that the combination of information from both underwater and above-water surveillance sensors enables achieving seabed-to-space situational awareness (S3A), mainly thanks to artificial intelligence and information fusion methodologies. These are designed to process immense volumes of information, fused from a variety of sources and generated from monitoring a very large number of assets. The learned knowledge can be used to anticipate future behaviors, identify threats, and determine critical situations concerning CUIs. To illustrate the capabilities and importance of S3A, we consider three events that occurred in the second half of 2022: the aforementioned Nord Stream explosions, the cutoff of the underwater communication cable SHEFA-2 connecting the Shetland Islands and the U.K. mainland, and the suspicious activity of a large vessel in the Adriatic Sea. Specifically, we provide analyses of the available data, from automatic identification system and satellite data, integrated with possible contextual information, e.g., bathymetry, patterns-of-life, weather conditions, and human intelligence.