Sequence Modeling of Passive Sensing Data for Treatment Response Prediction in Major Depressive Disorder

Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a prevalent mental health condition and has become a pressing societal challenge. Early prediction of treatment response may aid in the rehabilitation engineering of depression, which is of great practical significance for the relief of suffering and burden of MDD. In this paper, we present a sequence modeling approach that uses data collected by passive sensing techniques to predict patients with an outcome of treatment responded defined by the reduction in clinical administrated scales. Hundreds of patients with MDD have been recruited from outpatient clinics at 4 psychiatric sites. Each has been delivered with a self-developed app to passively record their daily phone usage and physical data with minimal human action. An unavoidable dilemma in passive sensing is missing values. To overcome that, the proposed approach combined feature extraction and sequence modeling methods to fully utilize the pattern of missing values from longitudinal data. With no treatment constraints, it enables us to predict the treatment response of MDD 8–10 weeks before the completion of the treatment course, leaving time for preventative measures. Our work explored the feasibility of treatment response prediction using longitudinal passive sensing data and sparse ground truth, and also has the potential for preventing depression by forecasting treatment outcomes weeks in advance.