An application of scenario analysis for long-term electricity distribution network development

This paper presents initial results of a research project entitled ‘Long-term Development Strategies for Electricity Distribution Networks’. The project aims at developing and applying (new) methodologies for dealing with uncertainties in asset management, more specifically, in the development of the electricity distribution network. In this paper, a traditional methodology, i.e. scenario analysis, is applied. Scenarios are developed taking electricity distribution network operators (DNOs) as problem owner. This paper presents the scenario development processes and the resulting scenarios.