Longtime Prediction of Climate-weather Change Influence on Critical Infrastructure Safety and Resilience

The model of a Iongtime prediction of the climate-weather change influence on a critical infrastructure is presented. Models of a Iongtime prediction of climate-weather change process limit transient probabilities at its states and coefficients of the climate-weather change impact on the critical infrastructure safety are proposed. The procedures based on these models are applied to the Iongtime forecasting of the resilience and safety of the port oil piping transportation system impacted by the climate-weather change. The piping resilience and safety indicators are evaluated.