Tracking randomly varying parameters-analysis of a standard algorithm

Concerns the use of the Kalman filter as an algorithm for the parameter estimation of a linear stochastic system where the unknown parameters are randomly time-varying and can be represented by a Markov model. The authors develop asymptotic properties of the algorithm. In particular they establish the tracking error bounds for the unknown parameters. It is shown that the Kalman filter has quite reasonable tracking properties even in the non-Gaussian case when it is not an optimal filter. If the parameters are generated from a stable model, it is found that there is no restriction on the regressors to achieve tracking error bounds. The bounds obtained have application for adaptive controller analysis.<
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