Propagating Uncertainty in Power System Initial Conditions Using Data-Driven Linear Operators

In this paper, we propose a data-driven approach for uncertainty moment propagation through the non-linear power system dynamics. The proposed approach relies on the linear representation of a nonlinear system using the Perron-Frobenius & Koopman operators for propagating the moments. Data from non-linear simulations is used to approximate the linear operators by matrices, thereby enabling moment propagation by matrix multiplication. Results for a large-scale system are presented to demonstrate the accuracy and speed-up of the proposed method.