A Stochastic Response Surface Method Based Probabilistic Energy Flow Analysis Method for Integrated Electricity and Gas Systems

An efficient probabilistic energy flow (PEF) analysis method is proposed for integrated electricity and gas systems (IEGSs) in this letter. A network decoupling based deterministic energy flow (DEF) calculation method is developed. A PEF analysis method is presented based on stochastic response surface method (SRSM). The computational efficiency and convergence performance of DEF and PEF are largely improved. The correctness and effectiveness of the proposed method are verified by using three test systems.