Conception of Oil Spill Trajectory Modelling: Karlskrona Seaport Area as an Investigative Example

A theoretical background of process of changing hydro-meteorological conditions impact on oil spill trajectory is presented. A probabilistic procedure to oil spill domain movement modelling is proposed considering the impact of hydro-meteorological factors. The procedure is practically applied to prediction of oil spill domain movement at Karlskrona seaport water area.