Research on bird trajectory prediction based on modified morkov chain

For the great harm of airfield bird impact and the lack of dynamic trajectory prediction method, a probability distribution trajectory prediction method is proposed. According to the basic motion information of birds, the characteristics of calculation were extracted to complete the cluster analysis. And the prediction model of bird dynamic trajectory was established by using the modified Markov chain model to predict the probability distribution of bird trajectory. The calculation results show that the accuracy of bird trajectory prediction is more than 86%.