Optimal Power Scheduling Using Data-Driven Carbon Emission Flow Modelling for Carbon Intensity Control

Regarding the continuing increase of anthropogenic carbon emissions in the power system with growing energy consumption, researchers have focused on managing the demand side to achieve low-carbon transition. However, such a low-carbon transition cannot be achieved effectively without the proper incentive scheme. Moreover, it is desired to improve the computation quality of carbon tracing tools and extend their applications by state-of-art techniques. To fulfil these existing research gaps, this paper proposes a low-carbon optimal scheduling model with demand response (DR) based carbon intensity control. It aims to reduce the dependence of customers on energy sources with high carbon intensities while decreasing reasonable energy consumption. Likewise, a data-driven approach conducted with the Bayesian interfere regression is proposed to carry out the carbon emission flow (CEF) model to cope with the drawbacks of the conventional emission calculation. Moreover, the storage emission and relevant dynamic impacts to the system are fully considered. The proposed data-driven approach is tested on a series of IEEE systems with different sizes, its high accuracy and efficiency are proved by the simulation results. Further, simulation results indicate that the proposed scheduling model can effectively achieve carbon emission mitigation.