Air Quality Prediction Based on Integrated Dual LSTM Model

Air quality prediction is an important reference for meteorological forecast and air controlling, but over fitting often occurs in prediction algorithms based on a single model. Aiming at the complexity of air quality prediction, a prediction method based on integrated dual LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model was proposed in this paper. Firstly, the Seq2Seq (Sequence to Sequence) technology is used to establish a single-factor prediction model which can obtain the predicted value of each component in air quality data, independently. Each component of air quality is regarded as time series data in the forecasting process. Then, the LSTM model with attention mechanism is used as the multi-factor prediction model. The influencing factors of air quality, like the data of neighboring stations and weather data, are considered in the model. Finally, XGBoosting (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) tree is used to integrate two models. The final prediction results can be obtained by accumulating the predicted values of the optimal subtree nodes. Through evaluation and analysis using five evaluation methods, the proposed method has better performance in terms of error and model expression power. Compared with other various models, the precision of prediction data has been greatly improved in our model.