Risk-Constrained Minimization of Combined Event Detection and Decision Time for Online Transient Stability Assessment

This paper addresses the problem of `quickest possible' online transient stability assessment, by minimizing the decision time of combined event detection that might lead to a system split and unstable generator group prediction, from real-time wide area power system measurements. More importantly it does so by respecting predefined probabilistic error constraints for the prediction. The statistical theory of optimal detection is applied, firstly to choose the detection threshold and secondly to select a flexible assessment time, after using probabilistic neural networks to provide a temporal representation of the data. On simulated wide area measurements from the interconnected New England test system and New York power system this approach is between two and three times faster on average than strategies based on fixed assessment times, despite having comparable error rates.