Analyzing COVID19 Crisis in North Africa: Using Health Indicators

All countries of the world are facing an unprecedented crisis, where the anti-COVID19 policies applied vary from country to country. In North Africa, the number of confirmed cases has been limited, despite the region's proximity to Europe.In this study, we examine the statistical relationship between deaths attributable to COVID19 and confirmed cases of infection in North Africa. We used daily data provided by the ministries of health of the North African countries as well as the World Health Organisation (WHO). We conducted a prospective study using the three health indicators: cases confirmed by COVID19, deaths attributable to COVID19 and COVID19 recovered cases. We investigated the unobserved contributing factors that may increase the probability of disease spread through human-to-human transmission. We established a linear statistical relationship between deaths attributable to COVID19 and cases confirmed by COVID19 across the three North African countries namely Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia. Our research is the first study that concerns the North African countries. The idea is to establish COVID19 database in order to optimize on the one side the analysis of information on actual or potential health deficiencies and on the other side to determine corrective actions. The main objective is to better manage the situation related to this pandemic and to capitalize on all the actions taken to prevent any potential public health crisis.