Efficient Prediction of Link Outage in Mobile Optical Wireless Communications

Optical wireless networks, especially those relying on visible light communications, suffer from severe deterioration in signal's quality when the line-of-sight (LOS) link is absent due to user's mobility. In order to enable efficient resource management within such networks, reliable prediction of LOS link outage is essential. Towards this objective, this article proposes a data-driven approach based on deep machine learning techniques to predict the outage events in an LOS link. First, we present a framework to generate sufficient data representing the channel gain in mobile optical wireless networks that consist of visible light communications in the downlink and infrared communications in the uplink. Using the developed dataset, we propose a channel predictor that forecasts the burst outages or signal recoveries in the upcoming frames using a deep recurrent neural network that implements long-short-term-memory (LSTM) units. To achieve this goal, we propose a low-complexity approach to reduce the data sparsity due to the user's mobility by abstracting and densifying the channel state sequence. For a one second prediction interval, the proposed prediction framework achieves an event hit rate of 91.55% for abrupt outages with an average event timing error of 79 ms, and 83.19% for recoveries from outages with 145 ms timing error. This timing error is on the same order of magnitude with the coherence time of the optical wireless channel. Therefore, this predictor is very useful in developing efficient resource management strategies in such optical networks.