Lateral State Estimation of Preceding Target Vehicle Based on Multiple Neural Network Ensemble

Preceding target vehicle (PTV) motion recognition play a pivotal role in autonomous vehicles. Motion states such as yaw rate, longitudinal and lateral velocity are critical for ego vehicle decision-making and control. However, lateral states of a PTV can hardly be measured directly by common onboard sensors and the PTV lateral state estimation has been seldom addressed in existing literatures. In this paper, a novel estimation scheme based on multiple neural network ensemble is proposed for PTV lateral state estimation. First, PTV lateral kinematics is presented based on vehicle-road relationship and a novel PTV lateral motion model is constructed to interpret the PTV lateral motion. Then, neural network observer with the PTV lateral kinematics as prior knowledge is designed and training data are collected in simulation environment. The neural network observer is trained using Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation with Bayesian regularization (LMBR) to improve the generalization capability. Finally, to further improve the performance of the neural network estimation method, multiple neural network observers are integrated by weighted averaging strategy. The effectiveness of proposed approach is verified through hardware-in-the-Ioop (HiL) experiments conducted in designed verification scenarios, and compared with model-based method and other three learning methods. The experiment results reveal that the proposed method outperforms other typical methods and achieves accurate estimation of the PTV lateral states.