Risk of grounding by a ship passing a fairway - simulation method of navigational risk estimation in emergency situations

The article presents a simulation method for estimating the risk of grounding of a ship passing along the fairway in emergency situations This method consists in the determination of accident probability and utilizes a specially designed simulation experiment involving rudder jamming or engine blackout during ship passage along a dredged fairway. The method was used for risk assessment referring to grounding by an LNG tanker in the approach channel to the port of Swinoujście.