Statistical Model Checking for Dynamical Processes on Networks: A Healthcare Application

In the event of an epidemic outbreak, it is crucial to deploy limited healthcare resources cleverly across a distributed geography. In this paper we consider the limited resource to be a healthcare unit that can move across cities and sample a bounded number of people per day in a city and “cure” or render “uninfectious” the infected people in the sample. We study various sojourn and movement strategies of these units. We demonstrate the effectiveness of a tool that assists health-care authorities in performing a what-if analysis and planning a response to an epidemic outbreak. Further, we illustrate that in this setting, statistical model checking can be very useful for answering complex queries at different levels of granularity.