Development Model Availability of Rice in Indonesia Using System Dynamics Approach

Rice is one of the food crops that cannot be replaced for the people of Indonesia. Rice is a primary food of Indonesia's population. With the need for availability of rice will also be arranged for not until blackspots. Indonesia has the level of rice consumption of 125.67 kg / capita / year (data Ministry of Agriculture Indonesia, 2015). Rice also has a strategic role in the stability of food security. The purpose of this study was to analyze the availability of rice as consumption in the future, we use a Vensim equation, then the simulation using historical data to produce graphs. The graph shows a steady population growth then create a simulation of the dynamic model for planning the provision of rice and provide policy alternatives for decision makers.