Quantifying Deployability & Evolvability of Future Internet Architectures via Economic Models

Emerging new applications demand the current Internet to provide new functionalities. Although many future Internet architectures and protocols have been proposed to fulfill such needs, ISPs have been reluctant to deploy these architectures. We believe technical issues are not the main reasons as many of these new proposals are technically sound. In this paper, we take an economic perspective and seek to answer: Why most new Internet architectures failed to be deployed? What makes a new architecture easier to deploy? We develop a game-theoretic model to characterize the outcome of an architecture's deployment through the equilibrium of ISP's decisions. We also use our model to explain the deploying outcomes of IPv6, DiffServ, CDN, etc., and the "Internet flattening phenomenon". Furthermore, one can use our model to predict the deployability of new architectures such as NDN, XIA, and compare the deployability of competing architectures. Our study also suggests that the architectures which try to make a fresh start may have a low deployability, unless they have efficient incremental deployment mechanisms or one introduces a centralized coordinator to help the deployment.