Learning and Reasoning in Complex Coalition Information Environments: A Critical Analysis

In this paper we provide a critical analysis with metrics that will inform guidelines for designing distributed systems for Collective Situational Understanding (CSU). CSU requires both collective insight-i.e., accurate and deep understanding of a situation derived from uncertain and often sparse data and collective foresight-i.e., the ability to predict what will happen in the future. When it comes to complex scenarios, the need for a distributed CSU naturally emerges, as a single monolithic approach not only is unfeasible: it is also undesirable. We therefore propose a principled, critical analysis of AI techniques that can support specific tasks for CSU to derive guidelines for designing distributed systems for CSU.