Assessment of forest fire danger using automatic weather stations and MODIS TERRA satellite datasets for the state Madhya Pradesh, India

Forest fires are the most frequently occurred phenomenon during summer seasons in the state Madhya Pradesh. Monitoring and assessment of forest fires are the crucial steps in effective forest fire management. Forest fire danger estimation helps the disaster management authorities to take necessary mitigation measures for minimizing the losses and to evacuate the local people. Fire danger rating systems predict the fire danger based on the meteorological station parameters and ground datasets. McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI) is the most popularly used fire danger rating systems using in the country Australia. This index requires large amount of ground datasets for the computation of drought parameter. In India, it is very difficult to compute the drought parameter due to the unavailability of instruments and man power. In the present research, McArthur Fire Danger Index was modified by inducing Normalized multiband drought index (NMDI) that was generated from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) TERRA surface reflectance product MOD09GA as a substitute for fuel availability parameter. To test the robustness of modified FFDI, the research was carried out on Madhya Pradesh state for the assessment of forest fire danger. The results obtained from modified McArthur fire danger index were validated by using MODIS active fire hot spot location data (MOD14) and achieved an overall accuracy of 82%. The research concludes that modified FFDI can be used for assessing the forest fire danger in case of unavailability of fuel availability data for a particular forest.