Area-of-interest probability maps for forensic investigation using LLS data

In this paper, a method to calculate the probability of lightning attaching in an area-of-interest of any polygonal shape and based on Lightning Location System (LLS) data is described. The calculation is based on previous work in which the equations necessary for calculating the probability of lightning attaching in an area are described. By combining this approach with some of the techniques used in Gaussian smoothed maps, it is possible to make these calculations for areas of any polygonal shape. From this, area-of-interest probability maps can be developed and a case study involving a damaged solar panel is presented as an example.