Model performance assessment for long-term vessel prediction using HFSW radar data

Vessels in open seas are seldom continuously observed. Thus, the problem of long-term vessel prediction becomes crucial. This paper focuses its attention on the performance assessment of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck target motion model comparing it with the well-established nearly constant velocity model. A gating association procedure and proper performance metrics are introduced to assess the performance using automatic identification system and high-frequency surface wave radar data.