The epidemiological approach to information security incidents forecasting for decision making systems

Existing approaches to modeling epidemics in biological and the computer world are analyzed. Analogies and differences of epidemics in the biological and computer worlds were established. The obvious form of mathematical models for prediction of information and cyber-attacks dynamics was proposed. The latent period features of infections were analyzed. Opportunities of not destruction of alien objects in biological and computer systems were discussed. The conditions of deterministic chaos occurrence in the simulation are analyzed.