Combat Capability Assessment Approach of Strategic Missile Systems Based on Evidential Reasoning

Combat capability assessment of strategic missiles systems is an important component of national security strategic decision-making. In view of the drawbacks existing in current system modelling methods, assessment indicators and assessment approaches, a model of combat system based on the operation loops is constructed. According to the system model and weapon properties, this paper proposes the system assessment indicators, calculates the weight value and devises the assignments of the indicators based on evidential reasoning and the assessment algorithm of systematic combat capability. The approach is proved to be effective by the examples of the typical equipment systems in the US Strategic Missile Force and in Russia's Strategic Missile Force.