Trends and typology of emerging antenna propagation technologies identified by citation network analysis

Detection of emerging technologies is vital for R&D managers and policy makers, and bibliometric approach analyzing papers and patents has been developed. In this research, we propose Research Classification Schema (RCS), which uses citation network analysis to classify technologies into four categories: Change-Maker, Breakthrough, Matured and Incremental. Each technology is plotted on RCS based on its publication profile. A case study in the field of antenna was conducted to evaluate relevance and to evaluate effectiveness of RCS. The method can contribute to the usefulness of identification process of promising technologies, and therefore, to the convenience of target designing of research projects in universities and companies. We also discuss effect of resolution limit of clustering algorithm on RCS to improve reliability.