Long-term energy demand and CO2 problem in the PRC

The long-term energy demand in China and the Chinese share in global CO
2
emission are forecasted on the basis of scenarios of population growth and economy development up to 2050 proposed in view of the interaction of energy, economy, environment and social development. The total energy demand in 2050 will reach 4.4~ 5.4 billion tce. It is shown in energy supply analysis that coal is China's major energy in primary energy supply. The share of CO
2
emission in the future Chinese energy system will be out of proportion to its energy consumption share because of the high persentageof coal to be consumed. It will reach about 27%. The nuclear option which would replace 30.7% ofcoal in the total primary energy supply will reduce the share by 9.8%. So the policy considerations on the future Chinese energy system is of great importance to the global CO
2
issues.