Fuzzy modeling and prediction of network traffic fluctuations

Network management is a real-time observation and control action to optimize the grade of service of a network. More emphasis is being placed on the intelligent automatic exchange for stored program controlled (SPC) systems that are capable of real-time network management. The modeling of traffic characteristics and the prediction of future traffic flow are the first steps to efficient network control and management. This paper presents a fuzzy logic self-learning model and adaptive predictor of traffic now. The results of an application of this predictor on real world telephone links, are shown, and are compared to applications of a math-model and a Kalman-filter predictor.