Sequential Experimental Design Based Modeling of a Notional All-Electric Ship AC/DC Conversion System for Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis

The construction of surrogate models for a large-scale transient simulation of the AC/DC conversion system of a notional all-electric warship is described. A sequential experimental design approach is used to progressively glean information about the simulation model, while increasing the number of runs executed and the complexity of the surrogate model as needed. The surrogate models are utilized for sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of the simulation model.