Design of Experiments Applied to the Single-Event Upset-Rate Equation

This paper takes a design of experiments (DOE) approach to rate calculations. Different expressions for the cross-section, ion flux, and transport operator are combined to calculate single-event upset rates. The performance of each method is compared to published on-orbit data. The results are used to determine the best form for each of the constituent components. The precision of the calculated rates is strongly tied to the function used to describe the cross section. While the environment and transport operator typically provide a tradeoff between the accuracy and the number of underestimated rates.