mRNA Secondary Structure Prediction Using Utility-Scale Quantum Computers

Recent advancements in quantum computing have created new opportunities for tackling long-standing, complex combinatorial optimization problems that are intractable for classical computers. Predicting the secondary structure of mRNA is one such notoriously difficult problem that can benefit from the rapid advancements in quantum computing technology. Accurate prediction of mRNA secondary structure is crucial for designing RNA-based therapeutics, as it dictates various stages of the mRNA life cycle, including transcription, translation, and decay. The current generation of quantum computers has reached a utility scale, enabling us to explore relatively large problem sizes. In this paper, we examine the feasibility of solving mRNA secondary structures on a quantum computer for sequence lengths up to 60 nucleotides, representing problems in the qubit range of 10 to 80. We use the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR)-based VQE algorithm to solve optimization problems derived from mRNA secondary structure prediction on the IBM Eagle and Heron quantum processors. Encouragingly, even with minimal error mitigation and fixed-depth circuits, our hardware runs yield accurate predictions of minimum free energy (MFE) structures that match the results of the classical solver CPLEX. Our results provide substantial evidence for the viability of solving mRNA structure prediction problems on a quantum computer and motivate continued research in this direction.