Causality Analysis and Modeling of Fuel Ratio Influencing Factors in Blast Furnace Ironmaking Process

Blast furnace ironmaking is a key process in iron and steel production, and the fuel ratio has an important impact on the smelting efficiency, cost and environmental impact of the blast furnace. This study aims to provide new ideas and method-ological support for the optimized management and control of the blast furnace ironmaking process by exploring the effects of different factors on the fuel ratio. We firstly sorted out the factors affecting the fuel ratio based on the blast furnace process mechanism, and then deeply analyzed the causal relationship of each parameter on the fuel ratio based on the transfer entropy value, and screened out the parameters that did not have a significant effect on the fuel ratio. Taking the remaining key parameters as inputs, the LSTM and GRU models, which can capture time series information, are used to predict the mean and variance of the fuel ratio, respectively, and the two are combined to compute the final fuel ratio, which overcomes the problem of poor model generalization brought by small fluctuations in the training data of fuel ratio. The experimental results show that the convergence speed of the model is significantly improved after parameter screening, and the fuel ratio can be effectively predicted within a certain error range.