Long-term Solar Irradiance Forecasting Based on TimesNet with Multiple Weather Parameters

In renewable energy grids, solar irradiance prediction is significant for electric operation planning. The emphasis of our work is forecasting irradiance changes over multiple days ahead using hourly irradiance data in association with weather parameters such as temperature, humidity, barometric pressure, wind speed, and cloud cover. Specifically, a framework based on TimesNet was proposed for 4-day global horizontal irradiance (GHI) forecasting and a comparative experiment was conduct with three well-performing models in long-term forecasting tasks. The experimental results indicate that the suggested method outperformed the accuracy when compared to other models, with MSE 0.198, MAE 0.259, RMSE 0.445 and R
²
0.787.