Potential Output Capacity Estimation in Offshore Wind Farm Layout Optimization considering Complex Marine Meteorological Environment

The offshore wind farm output is heavily dependent on com-plex marine meteorological environment, where the potential output capability of which can be improved through suitable layout configuration and wake optimization. To cover this, this paper constructs a probabilistic method for estimating offshore wind farms output in complex marine meteorological environment, and then extends a refined layout optimization method for offshore wind farms aimed to achieving the maximum out-put. Remarkably, a Jensen-derived wake analysis is implemented to estimate the impact of marine meteorological environment, i.e., marine wind speed as well as wind speed, and then, a multiple linear regression method is applied to depict the probabilistic mapping between available offshore wind farm output and marine meteorological environment. Furthermore, the least square optimization method is extended to capture the optimal layout configuration of offshore wind farms to achieve the maximum output in complex marine meteorological environment. The proposed method is validated by the real-world data set of the Irish meteorological buoy net-work, and the results show that the proposed method can effectively estimate the offshore wind farm output in complex marine meteorological environment and achieve the maximum output through the optimal layout configuration.