Towards Baseline Sustainability Scenario Development for the Agri-Food Supply Chain in the Mediterranean area

Agrifood supply chain (AFSC) viability is being threatened by several crisis such as COVID-19 and Russian-Ukrainian war. In this context, it is required to move towards resilient and sustainable AFSC. Scenario identification serves for defining a realistic vision for the value chain and a basic strategy for achieving that vision to which AFSC stakeholders adhere. The aim of this paper is to define baseline sustainability scenarios for AFSC in the Mediterranean area. To do so, key factors for sustainable AFSC as well as their possible options were identified. Moreover, surveys and interviews with AFSC actors and experts in four Mediterranean countries were conducted to identify options values. On this basis, four sustainability baseline scenarios were defined showing disparities between these countries in terms of sustainability considerations.