Simulation of the Temperatures in Permanently Shadowed Region of the Crater Shackleton and Implications to In-Situ Detection

In China's Chang'e 7 mission, a miniflyer will be carried for in-situ water ice measurement in permanently shadowed regions (PSRs) around the lunar south pole. The extreme cold environment within PSRs causes serious challenges for the safety of the miniflyer. Predication of temperatures in PSR is critical for designing the internal heating system and the heat source capacity. Conducting in-situ detection mission in relatively warm temperature can reduce the threat of the cold environment and save energy to maintain a suitable operation temperature for payloads. Since the polar-orbiting satellite lunar reconnaissance orbiter passes over the same location in the polar region with intervals of about a month, the temporally continuous observation is unavailable. Simulation is necessary to determine the temporally continuous temperatures of PSR during the mission. In this article, a numerical model of the temperatures in PSR is presented. The ray tracing approach is used to calculate the shadowing effect of terrain on scattered sunlight and thermal radiation. The PSR temperatures are simulated with the one-dimensional heat conduction equation. Simulated temperatures are compared with Diviner data for validation. The spatial and temporal temperature distributions of PSRs in crater Shackleton, which is the preferred landing site for the Chang'e 7 mission, are simulated from 2026 to 2028. The simulated temperature in high temporal resolution of one Earth hour can be applied to analyzing diurnal and seasonal temperatures in PSRs and is helpful for thermal management and design of the internal heating system. The time windows with relatively warm temperature in PSR at regions with slope angles less than 5° are recommended to save energy and reduce the hazards of the extremely cold environment.