Regression-Based Model Error Compensation for a Hierarchical MPC Building Energy Management System

One of the major challenges in the development of energy management systems (EMSs) for complex buildings is accurate modeling. To address this, we propose an EMS, which combines a Model Predictive Control (MPC) approach with data-driven model error compensation. The hierarchical MPC approach consists of two layers: An aggregator controls the overall energy flows of the building in an aggregated perspective, while a distributor distributes heating and cooling powers to individual temperature zones. The controllers of both layers employ regression-based error estimation to predict and incorporate the model error. The proposed approach is evaluated in a software-in-the-loop simulation using a physics-based digital twin model. Simulation results show the efficacy and robustness of the proposed approach.