Prediction of Original Reliability Parameters in Power Systems Based on Improved Discrete Grey Model

With the advancement of power system, the prediction of original reliability parameters in power system has received a lot of attention from industry and research communities in recent years. In this paper, we focus on the prediction of original reliability parameters from the point of the Grey System. An improved Discrete Grey Model with the improved initial value is utilized for predicting the original reliability parameters. In addition, how to determine the initial value has also been derived and. stability of the DGM(1,1) model is discussed as well The experimental results demonstrated and validated the correctness of the improved prediction model.