Serviceability Analysis of Monte Carlo Simulation for Stock Market Trading Price

When stocks are traded in the market, the price of stock has a great variation. Therefore, predicting the stock price is a huge challenge. Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) is a typical method for stock price simulation. However, the serviceability of MCS is still insufficient. In this paper, the serviceability analysis has been done to evaluate the performance of MCS in different stocks price simulation. The results show that the Group 1, Group 5 and Group 8 have the highest predicted return under our condition settings. Among them, PDD has the biggest contribution, and the combinations holding PDD have a good return rate. Besides, the combinations holding WMT have a good performance of resisting risk because the WMT has better stability. The findings illustrate that the performance of Monte Carlo is influenced by stock itself more than the investment combination.