Online Equivalent Degradation Indicator Calculation for Remaining Charging-Discharging Cycle Determination of Lithium-Ion Batteries

Online remaining charging-discharging cycle (RCDC) prognosis is of great significance for lithium-ion batteries. The conventional method is usually based on whether the state-of-health (SOH) of capacity reaches the end-of-life (EoL) threshold. However, the most available prediction methods have two problems that need to be solved. First, the SOH degradation curve of the lithium-ion battery is nonlinear and non-Gaussian, and the battery capacity regeneration phenomena (CRP) has a direct impact on RCDC estimation efficiency. These factors challenge the precise forecast of RCDC and increase the risk of prediction failure. Second, existing methods have insufficient early-stage prediction ability for capacity degradation because too little data are available to facilitate establishing and optimizing the prediction models. To overcome the above-mentioned drawbacks, this study introduces the Mann-Kendall trend analysis to generate an equivalent degradation indicator (EDI), and to replace the capacity-based SOH. The proposed EDI has good linearity and monotonicity, and is conducive to adopt a simple structured prediction model to determine the RCDC. Besides, this study is based on the “SOH-EDI” synchronization mapping relationship and applies an one-degree polynomial regression model to estimate the EoL threshold on the EDI curve. From the perspective of computational complexity, the proposed framework uses two polynomial prediction models with simple structures, which realizes a low computational burden and online RCDC prediction. To verify the efficiency of the proposed method, this paper introduces three methods for comparison. Experimental results show that the proposed framework has satisfied early-stage prediction ability of RCDC and has a superior prognosis efficiency.