Sample Complexity Lower Bounds for Linear System Identification

This paper establishes problem-specific sample complexity lower bounds for linear system identification problems. The sample complexity is defined in the PAC framework: it corresponds to the time it takes to identify the system parameters with prescribed accuracy and confidence levels. By problem-specific, we mean that the lower bound explicitly depends on the system to be identified (which contrasts with minimax lower bounds), and hence really captures the identification hardness specific to the system. We consider both uncontrolled and controlled systems. For uncontrolled systems, the lower bounds are valid for any linear system, stable or not, and only depend on the system finite-time controllability gramian. A simplified lower bound depending on the spectrum of the system only is also derived. In view of recent finite-time analysis of classical estimation methods (e.g. ordinary least squares), our sample complexity lower bounds are tight for many systems. For controlled systems, our lower bounds are not as explicit as in the case of uncontrolled systems, but could well provide interesting insights into the design of control policy with minimal sample complexity.