The Longtime Safety and Resilience Prediction of the Baltic Oil Terminal Critical Infrastructure Impacted by Weather Changes

The paper is concerned with an application of the weather change processes impact model of the critical infrastructure safety and resilience considering the climate change to safety and resilience prediction for the Baltic Oil Terminal critical infrastructure operating at the variable weather conditions. There are presented main Baltic oil terminal safety parameters and there is prepared the prediction of the weather change processes future characteristics. Finally, using coefficients of the weather impact on the Baltic oil terminal assets intensities of ageing evaluated by experts, there are evaluated various safety and resilience indicators of the Baltic Oil Terminal critical infrastructure impacted by the weather changes processes.