Modelling of fasting glucose-insulin dynamics from sparse data

With the fast growth of diabetes prevalence, the disease is now considered an epidemic. Diabetes is characterized by elevated glucose levels, that may be treated with insulin. Tight control of glucose is essential for prevention of complications and patients’ well-being. In this paper we model the fasting glucose-insulin dynamics in type 2 diabetes, aiming at controlling the glucose level. Relevant clinical data are typically sparse and have a sampling period much greater than the fast dynamics in the glucose-insulin dynamics in humans. We adapt a physiological model such that important slow non-linear dynamics are identifiable and test the resulting model on deterministic simulated data and sparse, slow sampled clinical data.