Predicting project risk from architecture reviews

A metric is proposed to predict the risk of a project's failure. It is a simplification of a metric proposed by A. Avritzer et al. (Proc. 5th Internat. Symp. on Software Metrics, pp. 4-10, Nov. 1998). The metric is based on findings made during an architecture review of the project. An empirical study involving 36 large industrial telecommunications projects is included, describing our experience with using this metric.