Altitude optimization of Airborne Wind Energy systems: A Bayesian Optimization approach

This study presents a data-driven approach for optimizing the operating altitude of Airborne Wind Energy (AWE) systems to maximize net energy production. Determining the optimal operating altitude of an AWE system is challenging, as the wind speed constantly varies with both time and altitude. Furthermore, without expensive auxiliary equipment, the wind speed is only measurable at the AWE system's operating altitude. The work presented in this paper shows how tools from machine learning can be blended with real-time control to optimize the AWE system's operating altitude efficiently, without the use of auxiliary wind profiling equipment. Specifically, Bayesian Optimization, which is a data-driven technique for finding the optimum of an unknown and expensive-to-evaluate objective function, is applied to the real-time control of an AWE system. The underlying objective function is modeled by a Gaussian Process (GP); then, Bayesian Optimization utilizes the predictive uncertainty information from the GP to decide the best subsequent operating altitude. In the AWE application, conventional Bayesian Optimization is extended to handle the time-varying nature of the wind shear profile (wind speed vs. time). Using real wind data, our method is validated against three baseline approaches. Our simulation results show that the Bayesian Optimization method is successful in dramatically increasing power production over these baselines.