Reliable Time Exponents for Long Term Prediction of Negative Bias Temperature Instability by Extrapolation

To predict the negative bias temperature instability (NBTI) toward the end of pMOSFETs’ ten years lifetime, power-law-based extrapolation is the industrial standard method. The prediction accuracy crucially depends on the accuracy of time exponents, n. n reported by early work spreads in a wide range and varies with measurement conditions, which can lead to unacceptable errors when extrapolated to ten years. The objective of this paper is to find how to make n extraction independent of measurement conditions. After removing the contribution from as-grown hole traps, a new method is proposed to capture the generated defects (GDs) in their entirety. n extracted by this method is around 0.2 and insensitive to measurement conditions for the four fabrication processes we tested. The model based on this method is verified by comparing its prediction with measurements. Under ac operation, the model predicts that the GD can contribute to ~90% of NBTI at ten years.