Estimation of maximum loadability in power systems by using elliptic properties of P-e curve

This paper presents an efficient algorithm to estimate the maximum load level for heavily loaded power systems with the load-generation variation vector obtained by ELD (economic load dispatch) and/or short term load forecasting while utilizing the elliptic pattern of the P-e curve. It is well known the power flow equation in the rectangular coordinate is fully quadratic. However, the coupling between e and f makes it difficult to take advantage of this quadratic characteristic. In this paper, the elliptic characteristics of P-e curve are illustrated and a simple technique is proposed to reflect the e-f coupling effects on the estimation of maximum loadability with theoretical analysis. An efficient estimation algorithm has been developed by utilizing the elliptic properties of the P-e curve. The proposed algorithm is tested on IEEE 14 bus system, New England 39 bus system and IEEE 118 bus system, which shows that the maximum load level can be efficiently estimated with remarkable improvement in accuracy.